28 Apr 2024 08:36:55
I must be thick but what is this 'expected goals' all about? If you have an expected goal of 0.5, does that mean you are only expected to score half a goal? Or, you did score a goal until VAR steps in. Anyway, what difference does XG make anyway? I have no idea!

1.) 28 Apr 2024
28 Apr 2024 10:09:26
You're not being thick at all. It confuses me too. I mean when we beat Chelsea 4-2, our xg was 1.25 and theirs was 7 or something stupid.

Apparently it's based on passes and all sorts of useless factors.

2.) 28 Apr 2024
28 Apr 2024 10:18:59
I think it was Paul Merson in sky, I know he ain’t the brightest spark but even he admitted he didn’t understand the xg ether

3.) 28 Apr 2024
28 Apr 2024 10:23:34
All gobbledygook to me and meaningless, unless perhaps your wanting on getting a bet on and don't follow the game?.

4.) 28 Apr 2024
28 Apr 2024 11:01:35
XG of 0.5 means you should score 5 goals from 10 attempts. Like most I'm no expert but as others have said it's based on historical data.

So if historically you play counter attacking football and your build up play means that you get into good 1 on 1 chances in front of goal that score or force a save you should have a higher xG than if the goal attempts involve blasting the ball over the south bank from 30 yards and only getting the occasional shot onto the crossbar.

I think that's the best of my understanding. Happy to be further enlightened.

5.) 28 Apr 2024
28 Apr 2024 12:18:17
I pay zero attention to pointless stats. The final score is the real stat that counts, and maybe cards / bookings.